An Introduction To Statistical Betting

In this article you’ll learn something you ever wanted to know (and then some!) about how to make smart statistical bets based on how well you understand and interpret information.

And that’s what it’s going to take to win.

Are you a winner? You only need a few things in order to get started: a small stake to begin your initial investment and a willingness to learn. But the number one thing you need to do in order to be successful at betting is this: you need to separate your emotions from your intellect.

We are emotional people and that means that sometimes it’s easy to become anxious about a bet. But statistics is not about emotion. You won’t find emotional quotient in any good odds calculation. While your gut feeling does come into play from time to time, you shouldn’t consider emotions as part of your decision-making. You should use facts, numbers, and cold, hard intellect. That’s going to be the key to an increase in winnings.

You’re not going to win every bet but the more information you take in and the better you become at interpreting it, the more likely you’ll be at knowing whether or not you should place the bet, and for how much, etc.

That’s what statistical betting is all about. It relies on the fact that many people have already done the research to uncover the potential wins and losses on a particular event. Rather than requiring you to do all that work again, statistical betting takes the odds that the bookies offers and interprets it so you can uncover potential gold mines.

Numbers That Win The Lottery – Secrets Exposed

What is the best way to pick winning lottery numbers? What are the numbers that win the lottery? People select lottery numbers using different methods. Some use a lottery system while others faithfully play with a set of numbers which they select on their own.

If you use a lottery strategy that involves hot numbers, cold numbers and frequent numbers, then I have some bad news for you.

Mathematicians and experts have always told us that every number has an equal chance on a play by play basis. Theoretically speaking, no number has any better chance than another. This is true for numbers drawn in a random fashion.

Some facts about lottery numbers

Here are some more facts about lottery numbers:-

• Hot or cold numbers are a myth

• There is no history in the lottery numbers played

• There is no “special” number that is more likely to be drawn on any particular day

• Number patterns do not have a memory

Although the numbers per se are random, they do behave in a pattern that is not quite random or orderly. This is an important point to note when picking numbers that win the lottery.

For example, I have never seen this pattern in my many years of playing the lottery.

1-2-3-4-5-6,

2-4-6-8-10-12, or

42-41-40-39-38-37

It is very unlikely to get these number patterns all together at one time. The chances of it happening are very remote. Most players know that from experience.

Hence if you pick the numbers on a diagonal or straight line off a lottery ticket, the chances of a winning number pattern obtained this way are every low. So don’t play with this method because you are just going to throw your money away.

Avoid birth dates

Are birth dates a good selection of numbers that win the lottery?

Birth dates should be avoided because they only go up to 12 or 31. The numbers concentrate around that area.

I know birth dates are of sentimental value to many people. They would like to believe that the numbers are special. However the truth is that this has no significance as far as increasing your winning chances are concerned. You may even end up sharing your prize with other players if they use the same technique in picking lottery numbers.

The secret to picking numbers that win the lottery

The trick to picking numbers that win the lottery is to get rid of these unusual patterns. Then you are left with a small percentage of numbers that are more likely to appear in the winning combinations. This is the way to increase your lottery winning odds. This is also the method used by the most effective lottery systems.

Sports Betting Revolution – Unlock the Spread Monopoly and Collusion

What If the betting line or spread was established by four sports advisory companies without collusion or previous knowledge of each others numbers!

Lets face some facts about this number or point spread that usually comes from one Sports Advisory Group. This number is sold or distributed to the sports betting outlets online and the legal Sports Books in Nevada. These outlets put their little tweak on the line by 1/2 point or 1 point or an extra $5 on the money odds. However, everybody will post their number which is the same or within a point of each other. This is the equivalent of price fixing and collusion in any other industry.

How come the Sports Betting Industry has the same price or spread on their betting board? WHY – because nobody wants to rock the boat!

What if this process of establishing a betting line was not a monopoly but was provided by at least four sports consulting groups that were independent of each other. Each group would then post their calculated number for the worldwide sports betting outlets to buy and use for their operation.

This new mode of operation would unlock the monopoly that exists when the line is established. Now what happens? Would some books dare to post numbers that are different from others by 4 or 5 points either way. I doubt it since nobody wants to rock that boat. Is this collusion by the sports books so they can keep their share of the market and not create a price or point spread war.

The process of constructing the point spread number is probably done through a software program with all the statistics and other information to get a base number. Then the actual number is refined to include public perception as to where the public will place their money. It is no secret that Sports Books speculate or predict at what number the public will be evenly divided.

There are a number of times when the line is not even close to the final score. They do come close about 65% of the time. However, when the spread is minus 7 and the favorite wins by 21 points or the underdog wins outright, their number is way off.

If that minus 7 point favorite is listed at minus 11 points at another outlet would there be a Revolution among Sports Book operators. Would this difference of opinion cause a lot of anxiety with casino management. I am sure they would question each others actions after doing the same thing together all these years.

For a true and balanced market to emerge in any industry, there should be some options and competition among the players involved. A Betting Exchange is very close to a more balanced betting market since the competition is against other bettors. The spread is the same but the money odds are much better with more options.

If the Sports Books in Nevada and online books decide to re-arrange their Sports Book operations to include some alternatives to the spread, they will increase their handle and be more competitive. I would install some form of Spread Betting that is big in Europe. Allow more options with alternative lines and charge a little more vigorish. Some online books have alternative run lines on baseball. They post the run line at minus 1.5 runs on the favorite and underdog in the same game.

The Sports Betting outlets need to become more innovative to maintain a market share. We know they probably will not “rock that boat” unless one or more sports betting venues develops a rogue or maverick mentality. This would be a big gamble that could payoff and increase market share. However, it is ironical that sports books do not want to be in the gambling business. They just want to collect their commission and avoid too much risk. They are more concerned about the heavy hitters than the small average recreational bettors who lose more often.

Promoting or seeing changes in any financial markets is similar to getting people to stop smoking or obese people to lose weight. Change is difficult for a lot of people and businesses. As they say “talk is cheap”. However, I feel technology is becoming more prevalent in Sport Betting industry. Hopefully, it will create a more vibrant market with better options and more competition within the sports betting community.

Harsh Truths About Forex Trading That You Must Know

Forex trading is usually portrayed as “get rich quick overnight” way to make money. Many people who don’t know much about it are taken in its snares and end up losing their hard earned money. There are some facts about forex trading that everyone must know before they jump into it.

Who Really Wins With Forex Trading?

There are many companies that sell trading software and there are many that offer their own platforms that you can use to trade. In order to buy or sell currencies, you need to go through a retail trader. They make money each time you buy or sell. So the more you do the trading, the more money they will make. In the real world, about 95% of the new forex traders are not able to really make it and that means 5% of the rest who know what they are really doing end up getting their money.

Forex Trading or Gambling?

Forex Trading is like gambling. You can’t really tell in advance whether a certain currency will go up or down in price and it’s much easier to lose than to make any gains. Traders who really know what they are doing use sophisticated software to get buying and selling signals, their own experience and use fundamental and technical analysis. Using a software to get buying and selling signals is just one of the factors that they use to trade. Depending only a software is almost a guarantee to lose your money.

Before You Start Trading

Before you start doing forex trading, it is highly recommended that you join a forum and read what the experienced traders are talking about. Even the most experienced traders have their bad days and lose money in forex markets. It’s wise to do paper trading for a few months and study fundamental and technical analysis before you start real trading.

Which Platform to Use for Trading?

Many companies offer free trials to use their online trading platforms. There are many companies out there that manipulate their software so that during the trial period, you actually end up making some fake money, but as soon as you start using their real platform, you start losing money. It’s quite possible that even real platforms are manipulated so that you are not really able to make money. Consult the veterans in online forums to find out which ones are good and reliable.

Should You Use Automated Software for Forex Trading?

Although I don’t recommend the automated software for the reasons mentioned above, they have been gaining popularity in the recent years. As mentioned before, it should only be one factor out of many that you should use to trade forex.